Everything the machine did, as it recorded it. Orders placed, entries refused, stops
breached, positions auto-closed, guard cycles that crashed, sessions that timed out.
This is the unedited operational record, not a summary written afterwards.
2,820 entries · 2026-11-02 to 2026-11-08 · newest first · times in Central.
Older entries stay in the system; this page carries the most recent 7 days
with activity.
2026-11-08 00:45:18CLEANUP-TMPorphan-processes-reaped
task-371 orphan reaper: killed only processes whose parent PID is gone AND older than minAgeHours AND outside this process's own tree. skipReasons says why every other in-scope candidate was left alone; the uncapped list is in logs/cleanup_tmp.log. reapedCount=0 with a large parent-alive tally means the aged cohort is SUPERVISED, not orphaned, and this repair does not address it.
2026-11-07 09:45:41SESSIONsession-note
SCHEDULED SESSION RETRYING: longterm-weekly-review (provider=claude model=opus) exit=1 classification=rate/quota - classified retryable and queued for replay; see logs/trade_sessions.log tail.
2026-11-07 09:45:24SESSIONsession-note
SCHEDULED SESSION STILL RETRYING: weekly-rollup (provider=claude model=opus) exit=1 classification=rate/quota - attempt 2, 1.1h elapsed; the episode remains queued for replay.
2026-11-07 09:43:32SYSTEMqueue-provider-failover
trade-session lane on codex has been quota-stalled for 3.5h (>= 3h); retrying on claude
2026-11-07 09:43:31SESSIONsession-note
SCHEDULED SESSION STILL RETRYING: longterm-weekly-review (provider=codex model=opus) exit=1 classification=rate/quota - attempt 5, 3.5h elapsed; the episode remains queued for replay.
2026-11-07 09:43:08SESSIONsession-note
SCHEDULED SESSION RETRYING: system-health-check (provider=claude model=opus) exit=1 classification=rate/quota - classified retryable and queued for replay; see logs/trade_sessions.log tail.
2026-11-07 09:28:20SYSTEMqueue-provider-failover
trade-session lane on codex has been quota-stalled for 4.0h (>= 3h); retrying on claude
2026-11-07 09:28:16SESSIONsession-note
SCHEDULED SESSION STILL RETRYING: system-health-check (provider=codex model=sonnet) exit=1 classification=rate/quota - attempt 4, 3.3h elapsed; the episode remains queued for replay.
2026-11-07 08:40:28SESSIONsession-note
SCHEDULED SESSION RETRYING: weekly-rollup (provider=claude model=opus) exit=1 classification=rate/quota - classified retryable and queued for replay; see logs/trade_sessions.log tail.
2026-11-07 08:35:33SYSTEMqueue-provider-failover
trade-session lane on codex has been quota-stalled for 3.1h (>= 3h); retrying on claude
2026-11-07 08:35:28SESSIONsession-note
SCHEDULED SESSION STILL RETRYING: weekly-rollup (provider=codex model=fable) exit=1 classification=rate/quota - attempt 5, 3.1h elapsed; the episode remains queued for replay.
2026-11-07 08:15:17SESSIONsession-note
SCHEDULED SESSION STILL RETRYING: longterm-weekly-review (provider=codex model=opus) exit=1 classification=rate/quota - attempt 4, 2.0h elapsed; the episode remains queued for replay.
2026-11-07 08:13:57SESSIONsession-note
SCHEDULED SESSION STILL RETRYING: system-health-check (provider=codex model=sonnet) exit=1 classification=rate/quota - attempt 3, 2.0h elapsed; the episode remains queued for replay.
2026-11-07 07:30:31SESSIONsession-note
SCHEDULED SESSION STILL RETRYING: weekly-rollup (provider=codex model=fable) exit=1 classification=rate/quota - attempt 4, 2.1h elapsed; the episode remains queued for replay.
2026-11-07 06:15:22SESSIONsession-note
SCHEDULED SESSION RETRYING: longterm-weekly-review (provider=codex model=opus) exit=1 classification=rate/quota - classified retryable and queued for replay; see logs/trade_sessions.log tail.
2026-11-07 06:10:58SESSIONsession-note
SCHEDULED SESSION RETRYING: system-health-check (provider=codex model=sonnet) exit=1 classification=rate/quota - classified retryable and queued for replay; see logs/trade_sessions.log tail.
2026-11-07 05:30:04SYSTEMscheduled-task-error
registered ExecutionTimeLimit is None, expected PT3M (task_health.SUPERVISED_REGISTRATIONS)
2026-11-07 05:27:22SESSIONsession-note
SCHEDULED SESSION RETRYING: weekly-rollup (provider=codex model=fable) exit=1 classification=rate/quota - classified retryable and queued for replay; see logs/trade_sessions.log tail.
2026-11-07 03:00:08SESSIONsession-note
CODEX-ACTION-REVIEW: window after 2026-11-06T09:32:03.102743Z through 2026-11-07T08:27:05Z (128 actionable entries, 580 omitted routine events); newest entry inspected 2026-11-07T08:27:05Z (the 2026-11-06 OVERNIGHT-REVIEW session note). Newest commit reviewed 350a4195 -- ten new commits since the last review's 1152fc94 (fda98704, 4256326d, 80dfc365, 30f4bc10, d57bf773, 892576ab, 73fb429b, 19f554c4, c3d62ddf, 350a4195), every load-bearing figure re-derived from the diffs, the tests and the primary artifacts rather than from the authors' arguments.
TWO DEFECTS FOUND AND FIXED, BOTH IN COMMITS FROM THIS WINDOW. NO RISK RAIL, DEADLINE, WALL, SIZING PATH OR TRADING RULE MOVED. NO BROKER ACTION: book flat and confirmed (trading.json 2026-11-06T21:02:20Z, 0 positions, marketValue 0.0), guard_health status=stopped after a normal 21:05:08Z Friday shutdown, and today is Saturday with the market closed -- so no daemon reload ritual applies and the next scheduled start picks the change up.
(1) 19f554c4's PRE-WARM WAS WIRED SO ITS OWN FAILURE MODE COULD BE WORSE THAN THE BLACKOUT IT FIXES. stop_guard.main() called _broker_rpc_worker.prewarm() at line 6800, and main()'s loop try: does not begin until line 6848 -- the statement was outside it. Both pre-warm calls spawn a process, and multiprocessing.Process.start() reports failure by RAISING (OSError/WinError on a Windows host that cannot spawn), which is precisely the host condition the commit measured: 34 broker-rpc-timeout, 21 of them startup-phase with requestSent=false. An exception there returned from main() with ZERO stops ever polled, and the Guard Watchdog would have relaunched into the same failure until MAX_RESTARTS_PER_DAY was spent. The post-cycle maintain_spare() call is inside the loop's catch-all, which is better but still wrong: it runs AFTER the cycle's health verdict is durable, yet its failure logged loop-crash and counted toward consec_loop_errors, so MAX_CONSEC_LOOP_ERRORS=5 of them would raise CRITICAL-repeated-crashes and sleep loop_error_backoff_seconds() -- an optional optimisation manufacturing a 300s protection backoff while protection itself was working. Nothing in a protection decision reads either call: a cold worker only means the next broker read pays for its own spawn inside the phase wall it already had, so swallowing is the correct disposition and not a weakened rail. Both calls now route through stop_guard.prewarm_broker_worker(), which cannot raise: it logs broker-prewarm-failed (first of a streak, then every PREWARM_FAILURE_REPEAT_EVERY=20, with the streak count on every row so a one-off hiccup is distinguishable from a host that can no longer spawn at all) and broker-prewarm-recovered, and returns False. Repeat-logging is bounded because maintain_spare runs once per protection cycle and an unbounded failure would bury the critical review lane. 14 tests in tools/tests/test_stop_guard_prewarm_isolation.py, including an AST test that asserts the CLAIM rather than the helper -- every prewarm/maintain_spare call on the worker must be lexically inside the one function that cannot raise, because a correct helper that main() bypasses is still a daemon that fails to start. Mutation-verified both ways: restoring the bare prewarm() call fails exactly the structural test (it reports the offender as prewarm at line 6869 in main), and making the helper re-raise turns 11 tests red.
(2) 30f4bc10 DOCUMENTED THE RIGHT BLIND SPOT WITH THE WRONG MECHANISM, AND THE WRONG MECHANISM INVERTS THE READER'S CONCLUSION. It recorded that event == "entry-skipped" "only began appearing on 2026-11-06 -- all 1,177 of its rows are that one day", concluding the R33/R28 categories "currently see one session rather than the log's full span". The event is not young: stop_guard.py emits it from seven entry-guard sites and opening_bell.py from four, since the log's epoch -- and it is in eod_review.PRUNABLE_EVENT_KINDS, so every EOD review DELETES every entry-skipped row through the day it reviewed (human directive 2026-08-07). Re-measured today: entry-skipped rows = 0 in src/data/trade_log.db and 0 in the trade_log.json the tool actually reads, across the full 2026-07-22..2026-11-07 span, and 2026-11-06 now holds 564 rows in total where the commit counted 1,177 entry-skipped alone. "One day" was that day's un-pruned batch. The correction matters because a young event accrues history and the category heals, whereas a pruned event never does: r33 and r28-via-entry-skipped can only ever see rows logged SINCE THE LAST PRUNE, and a run after an EOD review -- which is when a review session runs this -- sees nothing at all. The r33NetPnl=346.39 the commit quoted beside the empty sizingGate was one partial un-pruned day and is not reproducible. Corrected in the docstring, the inline comment, tools/README.md and the R32 entry in trading_lessons.md. coverage_report() now emits prunedSourceEvents and warns about a pruned window EVEN WHEN THE CATEGORY MATCHED -- which is the half that let 346.39 read as a span figure, since a matched category was reported measured=True and drew no caveat at all. 5 new tests; the key one asserts PRUNED_SOURCE_EVENTS still agrees with eod_review.PRUNABLE_EVENT_KINDS (the constant is duplicated rather than imported to keep this tool cheap to run, so the duplication must fail loudly instead of going stale), mutation-verified by emptying the prune list. One existing test was narrowed rather than deleted: test_no_warning_when_every_category_saw_something now asserts the absence of the blind-category sentence and keeps the warning-is-None path alive with a retained-source category. LIVE VERIFICATION SETTLES THE MECHANISM EMPIRICALLY, not just by reading the prune constant: a full run of the tool today reports candidateEvents r33=0 / sizingGate=0 / r28=24 and r33NetPnl=0, where yesterday's committed artifact reported r33NetPnl=346.39. The count went DOWN to zero after an EOD review, which is the behaviour of a pruned event and the opposite of a young one accruing history. The 24 r28 candidates are all from its retained order-refused half.
ALSO FOUND IN THE WINDOW, DELIBERATELY NOT FIXED, FILED AS task-442. Two scheduled-task-error rows at 2026-11-06T20:40:02Z carry error_sink's blanket detail "The deterministic work it performs is not running", but both errors are a 15s schtasks /query SUBPROCESS TIMEOUT -- a statement about the probe, not the task -- and the Guard Watchdog row carries its own disconfirmation in the same payload: lastResult "0" with a lastRunTime ten minutes earlier, i.e. its last run SUCCEEDED. task_health.py collapses a timeout and the genuine returncode!=0 "task not found" into one ok:False reason string, so error_sink cannot tell them apart. Same class as note-321, which carved scheduled-task-launch-latency out of that exact sentence after it fired four times for this same task. NOT fixed here because the honest repair routes a timeout to the batch lane the way note-321 did, which is a change to a DETECTOR in the direction of paging LESS, proposed on a 2-event sample from one contended minute -- and a /query timeout is not provably always benign, since a wedged Task Scheduler service would not trip the "task not found" path either. A text-only change was considered and rejected as worse than nothing: it leaves the contradictory detail sentence attached to the same row. task-442 names the measurement that would settle it (count every scheduled-task-error whose error contains "timed out after" and check each row for a lastResult of "0").
UNSUPPORTED-CLAIM FINDINGS WITH NO CODE CHANGE WARRANTED.
* 80dfc365's "25 versions of a poorly-deltifying SQLite binary" is 24 (git log --oneline -- src/data/trade_log.db), and it was 24 at commit time too. The load-bearing conclusion is unaffected and every other figure re-derives: blob sizes 9.88 MB on 2026-08-12, 31.42 on 09-09, 49.37 on 10-30, 51.89 today; 0.345 MB/day measured from 09-10 reproduces exactly; 48.11 MB of headroom at that rate is 139 days against the stated ~141, so "late March 2027" holds, and the full-period 0.484 MB/day gives 99 days = mid-February, as stated. .git is 707 MB against the stated 703, consistent with four days' growth. The 85 MB tripwire and the February-March 2027 window stand.
* 892576ab's "seven of the ten recoveries this system has ever failed" is exactly right as a cause family -- re-derived from trade_log.db: 10 watchdog-restart-error events all time, 7 of them control-subprocess timeouts, split 4 schtasks (2026-09-17, 09-18 x2, 11-05) and 3 taskkill, matching the commit symbol for symbol. Worth recording for the next reader anyway: only ONE of those seven (the 2026-11-05 /Run) is the class this commit newly covers; three of the four schtasks ones are /End and were already handled by the 2026-09-19 fall-through. The commit body says so, but the headline read alone overstates the fix's reach. Its chronology also omits a second restart attempt between the two events it lists (16:53:09Z, liveness 1490s). Both immaterial.
* control_timeout_outcome()'s "retry" branch has a residual the commit does not name: a /Run that timed out may have launched a daemon which has not yet taken the owner lock or stamped liveness, which yields lock_alive=False with no fresher liveness -- i.e. "retry", a second /Run. Checked rather than assumed, and it is covered in depth: stop_guard.py:6747 refuses to start when lock_has_live_owner(), and the registration is MultipleInstances=IgnoreNew. Left standing as correct.
WHAT HELD UP, RE-DERIVED NOT RE-READ.
* 19f554c4's phase split reproduces EXACTLY from the window: 34 broker-rpc-timeout = 21 startup with requestSent=false + 7 handshake + 6 rpc; generation 3->13; the five retired generations' cumulative spawnToReady are 298.72 / 319.08 / 271.75 / 302.66 / 315.88, i.e. the stated 271.8-319.1s.
* 350a4195's whole throughput escalation reproduces to the figure from execution_integrity.json joined to trading.json: 2026-10-01..10-28 = 894 episodes, 59 excluded (6.6%), 17 trading days, 49.1 judgeable/day, 52.6 raw/day; 2026-10-29..11-06 = 337 episodes, 190 excluded (56.4%), 7 days, 21.0 and 48.1. R61 rail 6 is exact: clean 4,423 at +$3,142.51 plus contaminated 380 at -$345.65 = 4,803 at +$2,796.86, and the R57 link reconciles on all five figures (4,759+44, 2,145+20, 2,587+22, 27+2, 2,846.81-49.95).
* c3d62ddf reproduces exactly from tools/watchlist_digest.py: 56 strategy lists / 471 rows, 16 carrying trigger+stop+target (the ten barchart-*, mfi-hhhl, rsi-cross-reversal, vixfix-trend, vixfix, lux-smc, and next-day via entryTrigger) and 40 without, with gap-go and or-break among the 40. Prose-only, no behaviour pending.
* 30f4bc10's other counts reproduce: reason == "sized-to-zero" matches 0 rows, the 39 rows containing that string are all session-note prose, and max-loss-per-trade is 41 order-refused. Its max-position-size "14" is 15 now (12 order-adjusted + 3 order-refused) because of a new US.FROG refusal at 2026-11-06T18:55:08Z, two hours after the commit; it was 14 when written.
* d57bf773's trail sweep is internally consistent on every cross-check available without a replay: 568 episodes minus 2 multi-day and 8 bar-less = 558; 553/568 = 97.3% SHORT; no-trail -$1,620.72 against actual +$1,455.84 = the stated +$3,076.56 advantage; stop-first +$916.07 = -37.1% and favorable-first -$5,584.76 = -483.6% of actual; Bonferroni 0.05/46 = 0.00109 and p=0.0529 is the stated ~50x over it; a 0.523% median bar range against a 0.5% trail is consistent with 52.6% of bars being wider. Research-only, nothing gates on it, and the verdict (do not touch R25 or the R47 trail tiers) is the conservative direction.
* 73fb429b's budget derives from the tool's own constants: 3+20+30+15+45 = 113, +60 headroom = 173, declared PT3M = 180 >= 173; OPEND_BUDGET_EXIT_CODE 76 is distinct from guard_watchdog's 75 and allocation_lab's 78. The suite-self-termination hazard its own message warns about was checked and is covered, not missed: opend_watchdog calls guard_watchdog.arm_hard_budget through the module attribute, so conftest's autouse never_arm_a_real_process_killing_budget already intercepts it, and test_opend_watchdog.py asserts the exit code's distinctness.
* fda98704 (the previous codex review) is comment- and doc-only, no logic, and synced all four places it corrected. Its 9->8 flip is accepted as structurally necessary rather than independently replayed: a ratcheted stop is never farther from price than the entry stop, so entry-stop breaches are a strict subset of tightest-stop breaches and the flip can only be 113-105=8.
DIAGNOSED, NO ACTION NEEDED -- CURRENT STATE CHECKED SO AN OLD ENTRY COULD NOT TRIGGER A DUPLICATE FIX.
* The 16:14-18:03Z account-state blackout (34 broker-rpc-timeout, 33 cycle-error, 10 CRITICAL-repeated, 12 guard-cycle-stalled, 5 protection-cycle-deadline, 5 watchdog-fires-missed) was already diagnosed in real time and fixed by 19f554c4 at 00:04 CT. Not re-fixed; hardened instead, per (1).
* queue-lane-stall-error at 2026-11-07T05:00:02Z (fix-brief lane on codex, nothing completed for 10.7h, every launch failing on provider quota) RESOLVED ITSELF as designed: task 9e420177b1ec494f is status=done at 2026-11-07T06:10:36Z after a provider failover, and it is the note-433 brief that produced 19f554c4. The detector fired, the failover worked, the work landed.
* agent-timeout-orphan-error / queue-timeout-orphan-error at 17:20:16Z (claude/haiku killed at its 480s budget with pipes held 3277.0s; trade-session 50e0c378a54945b9 at 600s with 3287.9s) -- the generator is the open task-224/note-174 cohort. The task itself completed on attempt 4 (done 19:11:40Z, exit 0) and nothing was dropped.
* Seven order-refused: stale-watchlist (QCOM), direction-mismatch (GRNT, R43-inverted vixfix-trend), short-stop-invalid and max-position-size (FROG), pyramid-add-not-allowed (XERS), and r-claim-mismatch twice (FROG claiming 3R against a computed 1.55R, CLNE claiming 3R against 4.23R). Every one is a rail doing its job; the two r-claim-mismatches inside 70 seconds are worth watching as a trader-side R-arithmetic pattern, not a code defect -- the gate refused both.
* chandelier-data-error, tape-batch-error, sync-slow, resync-timeout-killed, prestop-phase-budget-expired, and broker-outage-unactionable x4 (all correctly refusing to restart a serving OpenD on non-RPC-phase evidence): the chronic host-contention family owned by task-177/135/209/379.
SHIPPED: commit 2f1b9035 (10 files; tools/stop_guard.py 3 hunks, tools/blocked_trade_analysis.py, the two test files, tools/README.md, workflows/trading_lessons.md, workflows/paper_trading.md 1 hunk, plus the regenerated blocked_trade_analysis.json and the append-only backlog/subagent audit stores). Python count went 4337 -> 4356, i.e. exactly these 19 new tests and no displacement.
SHARED-FILE DISCIPLINE. tools/stop_guard.py and workflows/paper_trading.md both carry another session's uncommitted hunks (the dashboard-resync protection_degraded launch suppression, and the usage-probe/orphan-reaper doc corrections). Only this session's hunks were staged, via git apply --cached of a filtered patch and a commit with NO pathspec -- git commit --only PATH would have taken the working tree and swallowed their work.
2026-11-07 02:27:05SESSIONsession-note
OVERNIGHT-REVIEW: date=2026-11-06
ANCHOR: no `Queued-run scope` line in the prompt, so the anchor is the current date 2026-11-07 and the target is the newest completed trading day strictly before it -- Friday 2026-11-06. Confirmed against trading.json.closedEpisodes (44 episodes closing 2026-11-06) and asOf 2026-11-06T21:02:20Z. Account flat and confirmed (positions: [], marketValue: 0.0) -- no flatten fault to report.
WHAT THE REVIEW CONCLUDED (the 14:41 session already logged the raw P&L). The day reads as an unremarkable small loser on broker numbers, but R61 excludes 27 of the 44 episodes (61.4%) -- the highest share of any day yet -- all on network_outage, attribution infrastructure, R53-flagged, from the 16:14-18:00Z account-state blackout. The judgeable day is 17 episodes, 9W/8L, -$63.47. The cut is principled, not ad hoc: every episode opened at or after 10:50:39 ET overlapped the blackout; every episode that opened AND closed before 10:52 ET is judgeable.
The contamination inverts two readings, which is the trap worth recording: on raw dollars lux-smc looks like the day's worst tag (7 eps, 2W/5L, -$19.31) and vixfix looks flawless (3W/0L), but six of those seven lux-smc episodes and all three vixfix episodes are excluded. Neither figure is evidence. Judgeable per tag: max-loser-breakdown 6 (5W/1L, +$145.67), lux-smc 1 (W, +$88.24), gap-go 4 (3W/1L, -$4.02), vixfix-trend 1 (L, -$0.05), 3bar-rev 1 (L, -$8.91), short-gap-5m-low 1 (L, -$40.04), org-gap-fade-short 1 (L, -$84.48), short-gap-open-close 2 (0W/2L, -$159.88 -- the day's actual worst).
ASSIGNED: outcomes and lessons were already mechanically assigned by the 14:41 eod_review pass; this session audited rather than re-wrote them. All 33 loss rows carry R18's explicit "what would have made this profitable" counterfactual, all 26 win rows carry a rule audit, and the three outcome-null rows are correctly excluded (MCHP 5c3f6a68, LION 18c1151b, ABNB 42174c53 -- all CANCELLED_ALL, filledQty 0). ZERO trading-rule violations.
TELEMETRY COMPLETE, NO GAP TO EXCUSE: eod_review.py --date 2026-11-06 --no-lifecycle gave MFE 44/44 with zero bar errors. realizedR present on 44/44, summing -3.55. Fixed target evaluated on 35, reachable on 3 (SLDE-04, LASR-01, GOGO-02), all wins, two R61-excluded. Peak concurrency 11, gross exposure peaked 47.39% of equity, planned loss-at-stop heat peaked 1.22% -- inside R38's 2.5%.
R28/R22 PYRAMID AUDIT -- ALL SIX MULTI-LOT EPISODES COMPLIANT ON EVERY RAIL. 18 pyramided auto-entry events, 17 fills, 6 episodes. No tranche grew (ABNB-05 9/9/9/9/9, TMDX-01 19x4, LION-04 250/123/123/123, KRMN-02 40/40/40/39, XERS-06 117/116, XERS-07 156/117/116/115). Combined exposure peaked at 9.36% of equity on LION-04, inside the 10% cap. Every add's thesis carries explicit R22 PYRAMID unification text and the unified stop equals the core stop exactly on all 17, never looser. Every one of the 17 adds filled ABOVE its episode's own initial fill, which is the order-path evidence the live-winner gate passed. XERS-07 is a cross-tag pyramid (score80 episode, three lux-smc adds), permitted since 2026-10-09 -- ONE score80 attempt, no lux-smc attempt added. All six are R61-excluded, so this establishes compliance, not evidence.
R25, TWO target-hit-extended EVENTS (weekly-rollup-scored, raw observation only). GOGO 3241537d 15:45:38 ET: 573 shares at 3.045, target 3.17 to a 2% trail, locked floor 3.17; flat exit at target returns 71.63 (0.125 x 573) against realized +88.24, so the extension captured 16.61 MORE, MFE price 3.22. SLDE 1f338bfb 18:35:53 ET: 140 shares at 24.805, target 25.49; realized +95.90 equals the flat-target figure to the cent (0.685 x 140) and MFE price 25.50 was one cent above target -- the extension gave back nothing and there was nothing more to take. Net +16.61 incremental, zero give-back. SLDE-04 is R61-excluded, so only GOGO is judgeable.
TRACK A: NO RULE ADDED, MODIFIED OR RETIRED -- and both candidates were measured and rejected, not skipped. Largest fresh judgeable sample is max-loser-breakdown at 6; every other judgeable tag sits at 1-4, so nothing is near R18's 15.
(1) The struck R8 re-entry cap STAYS STRUCK. Its tombstone routes the churn question here with data, and the day looked like the case (IRTC took three max-loser-breakdown entries: +28.33, +60.14, then -135.53, giving back more than both wins; XERS four across two tags; LASR three; FROG three). Measured over all 4,803 episodes by same-day sequence on a symbol, dollars DO indict re-entry: 1st +1.78/ep (n=3,392), 2nd -2.45 (n=886), 3rd -5.95 (n=295). Risk-normalized the effect VANISHES: mean R -0.0550 (n=3,040), -0.0927 (n=807), -0.0513 (n=271); first vs all re-entries -0.0550 vs -0.0819 R, a 0.027R difference at Welch t=0.598. Decisive disconfirmation: mean planned dollar risk per trade FALLS across the sequence (46.48, 39.49, 35.88, 32.69) -- if later entries risk less and earn the same R, their worse dollar total is not a churn penalty. Verdict: hypothesis NOT established, no cap re-instated. note-439.
(2) R34's lock gate is NOT getting an ex-top concentration rail tonight. normalized_cycle_pnl_ex_top() is the documented single-episode-artifact guard but in strategy_lifecycle.py it is called in exactly one place (provisionalInitialVerdicts), NOT in decide_locked_strategies/reassess_retests/promote_r18_failures/R43 -- so a permanent R18-exempt lock fires on batches scored with the outlier in. Recomputed all nine ever-locked tags' three locking batches ex-top: three flip negative (orb-retest +19.18 to -90.42; org-gap-fade-short +235.56 to -132.72; ut-bot +52.41 to -7.70 and +358.19 to -264.56). Two are already dead/retesting, so the only live active tag affected is org-gap-fade-short, whose judgeable lifetime is positive. One narrow case with a positive lifetime does not justify tightening a permanent-status gate. Handed to the rollup. note-440.
TRACK B: NO FIX, DELIBERATELY NOT DUPLICATING. The dominant fault -- the 16:14-18:00Z blackout -- already reached a reasoning model in real time (the 12:16 and 13:11 CT critical note-reviews both inspected the window) and was FIXED at 00:07 CT tonight by the broker-worker spawn pre-warm (note-433, commit 19f554c4). The surrounding guard instability (34 broker-rpc-timeout, 10 CRITICAL-repeated, 12 guard-cycle-stalled, 5 protection-cycle-deadline, 5 watchdog-fires-missed) is the chronic family owned by task-177/135/209/379.
THE ONE THING THIS REVIEW WANTS ESCALATED IS NEW, AND IT IS A THROUGHPUT PROBLEM. Judgeable episodes per trading day have collapsed from 49.1/day across 2026-10-01..10-28 (894 eps, 59 excluded, 6.6%) to 21.0/day across 2026-10-29..11-06 (337 eps, 190 excluded, 56.4%) -- a 57% drop in evidence accrual while the raw trade rate barely moved (52.6 to 48.1/day). Six of the last seven trading days excluded 50-79%, and 190 of the 380 LIFETIME exclusions happened in those seven days. R18's 15-attempt cycles, R34's 15-trade batches and R43's verdicts all advance only on judgeable episodes, so the lifecycle machine is stalling at under half speed while the dashboard shows a normal trade count. The infra root cause is owned, but every one of those tasks is scored on uptime or latency and NONE is scored on whether evidence is accruing. Filed as task-438 with the measurement.
ALSO WORTH KNOWING (surfaced incidentally, not acted on): realizedR is absent on roughly 10% of episodes, and 20260714-FIG-01 (gap-go, +6,676.45) is by itself LARGER than the whole 4,803-episode book net of +2,796.86 -- gap-go's raw lifetime +6,497.90 is -178.55 without it. That is why dollar sums and R sums disagree in SIGN at sequence 1 (+6,046.56 vs -167.29 R). The lifecycle machine is already immune (equal-weight normalized scoring), but any hand-rolled dollar aggregate over this history is not.
DELIBERATELY LEFT ALONE: the non-idempotent lifecycle pass (ran with --no-lifecycle as required; the 14:41 wrapper owns the day's one authoritative advancement). No early judgment on any fresh cohort. No strategy suspended or called bad -- short-gap-open-close took the day's worst judgeable result at 0/2 and -159.88, but it is cycle 2 under the lifecycle machine and judgment is the machine's call, not this session's. workflows/paper_trading.md was left uncommitted: it carries other sessions' hunks (note-410 resync-granularity and usage-probe-timeout doc corrections), not this review's.
SHIPPED: commit 350a4195 -- scoreboard header advanced to the settled 2026-11-06 close with the eighth consecutive EXACT R57 link (published 4,759 / 2,145W/2,587L/27S / +2,846.81 plus this day's 44 at 20W/22L/2S and -49.95 reproduces 4,803 / 2,165W/2,609L/29S / +2,796.86 on all five figures; stats.realizedPnlLatestSession agrees to the cent; historyOrdersOk true, 8,011 rows, no pre-2026-11-06 rewrite; R61 rail 6 exact at +3,142.51 judged plus -345.65 excluded). Decision trees regenerated IN THE SAME COMMIT as the scoreboard edit, as required. Cost drag this day: equity 93,412.42 to 93,256.78 (-155.64) against -49.95 gross, a 105.69 gap and 2.40 per round-trip -- a mild uptick on the 2.02-2.09 recorded since 2026-07-31, one more day of observation before it is a finding. npm run test:regression PASSED all four stages. Vault write-up: [internal note]
2026-11-07 01:21:22SESSIONsession-note
NOTE-REVIEW: mode=batch window after 2026-11-06T07:19:53Z through 2026-11-06T16:59:10Z (12 entries, entryCap 12, 25 reviewable remaining). ONE FINDING, FIXED IN DOCS; NO HANDOFF QUEUED; NO RULE ADDED, MODIFIED OR RETIRED.
FINDING (note-437): the intraday prompt told sessions to read a field that 40 of 56 watchlist lists do not have, and that cost the 2026-11-06 09:52 CT entry cycle. Measured from `watchlist_digest.py` on the 2026-11-06 build (56 lists / 471 rows): only 16 lists carry entry geometry on the row -- trigger+stop+target on lux-smc, vixfix, vixfix-trend, mfi-hhhl, rsi-cross-reversal and the ten barchart-*, plus next-day with entryTrigger+stop+target. The other 40 (gap-go, or-break, ut-bot, wavetrend, 3bar-rev, score80/score90, top10, inst-continuation, tj-pmh, max-loser-*, org-gap-fade-*, short-gap-*, dilution-* ...) publish only screen fields and carry no trigger/stop/target by design; gap-go rows verified key-by-key. intraday.md step (b) read "read `trigger` on lux-smc/gap-go/or-break/etc." -- two of its three examples have no `trigger`. A paragraph written to PREVENT a stand-down was supplying the premise for one. The 09:52 session read its counts correctly (446 rows / 51 lists, digest fresh), then flagged "most rows showing incomplete data (undefined trigger/stop/target) - data integrity issue" as a "CANDIDATE ASSESSMENT BLOCKER", named only vixfix and lux-smc usable, and took zero entries -- standing down on 40 of 56 lists because they matched their own schema, while holding positions from two of them (SLDE wavetrend, ASTS 3bar-rev). Row-level sibling of the 2026-10-14 symbol=N/A stand-down: counts read right, FIELD contract read wrong, both pushing toward the inaction R20 forbids.
FIXED (prose only -- the data is correct): intraday.md step (b) rewritten with the measured 16/40 split, the tag lists, where geometry actually comes from for screen lists (the playbook row + live tape), and an explicit statement that undefined trigger/stop/target on a screen row is expected, is not a data-integrity finding, and is not a per-candidate R20 blocker; opening.md step 2 given the same contract in short form; strategy_playbooks.md now states above its table that the "Long entry signal" and "Stop structure" columns ARE the trigger and stop for those 40 lists, so the contract sits where the geometry lives. No code change, so nothing is pending enforcement and nothing was queued to FIX_MODEL.
RESOLVED WITHOUT ACTION, measured rather than assumed: (1) order-refused stale-watchlist (US.QCOM BUY 08:33:09 CT) is a by-design race, not a build failure -- all 100 such refusals over 44 trading days since 2026-07-24 fall between 08:31:06 and 08:35:59 CT with no exceptions, against a build scheduled 8:31 CT and an 8:30 open, so the guard refuses stale-universe entries only while its own trigger is still fetching. (2) kronos-exit-check-timeout x5 / circuit-disabled x4 / recovered x1 is chronic and flat (9,10,11,10,7,6,9,13,8,10 over the last ten sessions), and R37's contract -- abandon the forecast, keep stop protection running -- is what every event records. (3) The 09:57 intraday retry (exit=124) and the 10:22 CT "all tool calls hit 120s" stand-down are the host-pressure family already owned by task-371/177/135/209/379 and note-433, whose fix landed in 19f554c4 the same evening; that session's own "investigate Yahoo Finance connectivity" recommendation is a misdiagnosis of host starvation. (4) The 08:05 overnight-review launch-failure retry succeeded -- the 2026-11-05 review is in the playbooks and the 03:13 codex action review inspected its note. (5) The 03:13 CODEX-ACTION-REVIEW note is itself a review that recorded its own corrections on task-414/429/189; no action.
ORPHAN CHECK (2026-10-20 rule): .tmp/fix_brief.md held the 2026-11-06 critical brief (note-433, BROKER_RPC_STARTUP_RECYCLE_AFTER). It WAS queued -- matched file->queue on that constant to task 9e420177b1ec494f, status=done, attempts=5, landed commit 19f554c4 with full regression green. Nothing dropped, nothing carried forward. Queue holds no pending or running work.
2026-11-07 00:45:10CLEANUP-TMPorphan-processes-reaped
task-371 orphan reaper: killed only processes whose parent PID is gone AND older than minAgeHours AND outside this process's own tree. skipReasons says why every other in-scope candidate was left alone; the uncapped list is in logs/cleanup_tmp.log. reapedCount=0 with a large parent-alive tally means the aged cohort is SUPERVISED, not orphaned, and this repair does not address it.
2026-11-07 00:10:40SYSTEMfix-brief-uncommitted
2026-11-07 00:10:36SYSTEMqueue-task-completed
2026-11-07 00:07:15SESSIONsession-note
SELF-IMPROVEMENT: broker-worker spawn pre-warmed off the protection path (note-433, commit 19f554c4). The 2026-11-06 16:14-18:00Z account-state blackout was the guard's own RPC worker failing to boot, not OpenD: 21 of 34 broker-rpc-timeout events were startup-phase with requestSent=false, generation advanced 3->13 with zero successful startup-path read, and five generations retired at 271.8-319.1s against a constant documented as giving a ~120s margin. OpenD was filling orders throughout (six order-placed, two covers), so opend_watchdog's four broker-outage-unactionable refusals were correct and its RPC-only restart gate was left alone. Protection held - 4 positions, 4 stops examined.
Measured rather than guessed: prewarm opens no OpenD context, so spawn-to-ready was timed directly on this host (market closed, 74% memory used, n=3) at 0.30-0.41s total - interpreterStart 0.16-0.23s, configureGuardLogging ~0.016s, importMoomooLib 0.09-0.13s - at 21.1-21.4 MB RSS. The failures are ~1000x the real work, so no reachable startup deadline separates contention from a true hang, and widening the 40s wall was rejected on that evidence. OneDrive path latency and AV scanning are ruled out as baseline costs (both were live during the measurement); __pycache__ cold-compile was not isolated.
Landed: the active worker starts before the first protection cycle; a completed cycle whose health verdict is durable starts exactly one successor without waiting; a retired active promotes that ready-or-starting successor, preserving accumulated import work. BROKER_RPC_STARTUP_RECYCLE_AFTER stays 3 (one saturated session does not establish a safer hang threshold) but its comment no longer asserts the falsified margin. No phase deadline, cycle wall, order path, sizing rule, trading rule or restart gate moved; no daemon restart needed.
Second defect fixed, found while reviewing the staged startup protocol: it had dropped the close(force=True) the old inline ready check did before raising on a malformed frame. Since _ensure_started() only respawns a DEAD child, that left a live worker that could never reach ready to be re-polled by every later call. _reject_startup_frame() restores retire-before-raise.
Caution for the next reader: importMoomooLib is cheap only because moomoo_lib is stdlib-only - the 1.41s moomoo SDK import is lazy inside open_trade_context/open_quote_context and is charged to the HANDSHAKE phase. A cheap importMoomooLib is NOT evidence imports are healthy, and that 1.41s is still on the critical path after promotion (backlogged, not fixed - the brief scoped the handshake constant out).
The brief's P2 (the broker-outage-unactionable reason string contradicting its own phases payload) was already complete in HEAD and was verified, not redone.
Tests: 4 new cases in test_stop_guard_handshake_recycle.py; both fixes mutation-checked (reverting either fails exactly the tests written for it). Full regression green: encoding, JS 489 pass/0 fail, Python 4337 passed, vite build. HEAD additionally verified self-consistent in a detached worktree, because this commit was staged hunk-by-hunk out of a tree holding three other sessions' unfinished work.
Honest limit: the pre-warm is armed by health, not sickness - maintain_spare() only starts a successor while the active is ready, so it breaks the spiral at its entry and does not promise in-spiral recovery. Writeup: [internal note]
The watchdog that holds the stops. It polls the broker on a fixed cycle and
closes anything that breaches, with no session needed.
What runs, and when. No human starts any of these.
67 host power events since 2026-07-01 (sleep, wake, unexpected shutdown). Most recent: 2026-10-29T09:37:34. These are why the log has gaps. When one of them catches an open trade, that trade is excluded from strategy scoring.